So Carillion has gone bankrupt. The interesting thing is why.
It’s Christmas and for me that means drinks parties. In the past, knowing that I was meant to be some sort of expert on finance, at least one or two people would ask me about the Euro or UK interest rates or bank stocks or, more usually, internships for their kids.
This year? It’s all been bitcoin: more particularly, bitcoin futures.
Continue reading “Emotionally short: the new bitcoin futures”
I’ve always loved the film ‘The Graduate’. Near the start, Dustin Hoffman’s character Ben – the young graduate of the film’s title – is taken aside by Mr. McGuire, an older friend of Ben’s family. He wants to talk about Ben’s future.
‘I have one word for you’, McGuire says. Ben waits expectantly for a few, uncomfortable seconds. What is McGuire’s advice?
In a similar spirit, let’s talk about Lithium.
Why? In short, it’s a potential road block to three huge technology trends.
The Bank of England has announced that the UK banking system would be fine in the event of the UK crashing out of the EU without a deal.
Pardon me if I’m not comforted.
I’ve been a bit busy recently  and have not been following current events with my normal degree of attention, but the crisis in Catalonia has changed all that. An excitable commentator on the BBC yesterday – the day of the regional assembly’s vote for independence – called the region’s unilateral declaration ‘the greatest crisis to hit Europe since 1945’ and predicted possible civil war. I don’t think it’s quite that bad, but it won’t end well.
In part, it’s down to currencies.
I recently saw a news item about a family whose elder members have sold up everything to make a big bet on bitcoin. While I applaud their daring, I am less certain of their wisdom. It reminded me of one of my favourite jokes – a joke that I always think of whenever I make decisions with my own money.
Here it is.
Bank CEOs – although the few I have met personally have all been delightful – are not normally noted for the bitingly controversial nature of their public statements. Anodyne CEO sentiments about ‘tactical downsizing’ or ‘seizing new growth opportunities in China’ are par for the course. Coruscating attacks less so.
So it was refreshing to see that Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan has not held back in his opinion of bitcoin.
Over my toast and marmite this morning, listening to the radio, I heard reports of the devastation caused by hurricane Irma (taking over after a few weeks from its older brother Harvey). Then an Oxford Professor called Myles R Allen came on and announced new research that can – via climate science – pin the blame on specific companies
To quote the Kaiser Chiefs: I predict a riot.
With the newspapers full of articles describing the onset of the Great Financial Crisis ten years ago (a few weeks late in my view), I’ve also started to see articles speculating on what will cause the next one.
So, for your guide and entertainment in this, the tedious heart of summer, I present the runners and riders along with some helpful odds.
Continue reading “Next Crisis Cup: Runners and Riders”